Session 54: Population Forecasting

Thursday, Apr 1 3:30 PM - 5:20 PM Berkeley 3rd Floor

1.	Evaluation of the Variants of the Lee-Carter Method of Forecasting Mortality: A Multi-Country Comparison  •   Heather Booth, Australian National University; Leonie Tickle, Macquarie University; Len Smith, Australian National University

2.	Forecasting Best-Practice Life Expectancy to Forecast National Life Expectancy  •   James W. Vaupel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Sabine Schnabel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

3.

Forecasting Long Run Economic Growth in India: An Application of Probabilistic Demographic Projections  •   Alexia Fuernkranz-Prskawetz, Vienna Institute of Demography; Tomas Kögel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Sergei Scherbov, Vienna Institute of Demography; Warren C. Sanderson, Stony Brook University, State University of New York

4.	Population Scenarios Based on Probabilistic Projections: An Application for the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment  •   Brian C. O'Neill, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

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