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Session 64:
Population Projections in the 21st Century

Thursday, Apr 1
3:30 PM - 5:20 PM
Beacon H
3rd Floor
Chair: Lisa M. Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau
Discussant: Margaret Michalowski, Statistics Canada

1.  Confidence Intervals for Population Forecasts: A Case Study of Time Series Models for States  •   Stanley K. Smith, University of Florida; Jeff Tayman, San Diego Association of Governments (SANDAG)

2.  Shining the Soles of Your Shoes: Highly Detailed Small Area Projections  •   Stephen J. Tordella, Decision Demographics; Balkrishna Kale, State of Wisconsin; Tom E. Godfrey, Decision Demographics

3.  The Introduction of Bias in Birth Projections in Small Areas near Colleges and Universities: Impacts and Adjustments  •   David Gagnon, National Perinatal Information Center; Janet Muri, National Perinatal Information Center

4.  Sub-District School Enrollment Projections Using Student Level Records: An Application to Santa Barbara City Schools  •   Stuart H. Sweeney, University of California, Santa Barbara; Erin Middleton, University of California, Santa Barbara

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